"The EIA’s newest International Petroleum Monthly (
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World production (EIA data)
World oil production (EIA Monthly) for crude oil + NGL
Fig 2.- World oil production (EIA Monthly) for crude oil + NGL. The median forecast is calculated from 13 models that are predicting a peak before 2020 (Bakhtiari, Smith, Staniford, Loglets, Shock model, GBM, ASPO-[70,58,45], Robelius Low/High, HSM). 95% of the predictions sees a production peak between 2008 and 2010 at 77.5 - 85.0 mbpd (The 95% confidence interval is computed using a bootstrap technique).
For more info see the comments on theoildrum.com:
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